{"id":"W2091256394","doi":"10.1111/1467-9396.00378","title":"Investor Expectations and the North American Free Trade Agreement","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Review of International Economics","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Profitability index; Free trade agreement; Stock (firearms); Manufacturing; Event study; Capital intensity; Excess return; Business; Economics; International economics; Monetary economics; Free trade; Finance; Human capital; Market economy; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003939877,0.0001214291,0.0004528664,0.00007358812,0.00004698325,0.00003208804,0.0003668304,0.00001815214,0.0001696136],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002879291,0.0001138102,0.0001574473,0.0000839286,0.0002200895,0.0001542782,0.00004680407,0.00007782324,0.00009283671],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000102558,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002326558,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00008435462,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001339709,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987816,0.00002094936,0.0008105472,0.0002362292,0.00001981726,0.0001308723],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988594,0.0000863083,0.0006542259,0.0003233161,0.00001716021,0.00005955554],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000006537272,0.00003027802,0.02216235,0.0001064866,0.0001198427,1.814945e-7,0.000117955,0.00002933174,7.545533e-8,0.9747528,0.002036358,0.000637744],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002949886,0.00008723639,0.0671194,0.0003066379,0.00005288747,0.00003534526,0.0005156321,0.002049068,0.00002046787,0.06655142,0.85974,0.0005720474],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5644632,0.1969089,0.0004328797,0.03610012,0.001623346,0.001161754,0.001159566,0.00003116414,0.1981191],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6558083,0.3345892,0.003137348,0.006025497,0.0001042584,0.00007585227,0.00004542675,0.00002155214,0.0001925664],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9082015,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4641043,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03743743922024093,"score_gpt":0.2248804659399982,"score_spread":0.1874430267197573,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}