{"id":"W2093001776","doi":"10.1177/1948550610375722","title":"Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Social Psychological and Personality Science","topic":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":28,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Service (business); Social psychology; Control (management); Marketing; Computer science; Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004194524,0.0001325069,0.0002222959,0.0001358969,0.001361163,0.0007488069,0.0005835129,0.0001393816,0.000462974],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00153474,0.00009238975,0.00006864544,0.0004650038,0.00243789,0.000403018,0.0001780527,0.0003441641,0.00003120888],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001651709,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007591221,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003257551,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002557513,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976661,0.00008938483,0.0003858095,0.0007304492,0.0008455814,0.0002827287],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985981,0.0004527991,0.0001353509,0.000244133,0.0002759578,0.0002936532],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007637341,0.0007350691,0.04064169,0.000007173113,0.0000127056,0.00002778424,0.003056146,0.000001061599,0.007657946,0.06634985,0.007405821,0.8740284],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004887344,0.0002617689,0.7183623,0.00000755413,0.00002951327,0.0001535593,0.007566772,0.001325649,0.00001246906,0.233021,0.03836296,0.0004076734],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9790286,0.00003250233,0.0002098104,0.006813974,0.0006859287,0.00008302489,0.00004728683,0.00006876789,0.01303008],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9964104,0.00002692021,0.002044048,0.0008381193,0.0001432426,0.000005782614,0.000001390198,0.000003168605,0.0005268902],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8736207,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999389,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3662162631969721,"score_gpt":0.4660170793104361,"score_spread":0.09980081611346397,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}