{"id":"W2095033023","doi":"10.1007/s10992-014-9314-x","title":"What Should I Believe About What Would Have Been the Case?","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Philosophical Logic","topic":"Philosophy and History of Science","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Counterfactual conditional; Metaphysics; Epistemology; Probabilistic logic; Section (typography); Mathematical economics; Econometrics; Counterfactual thinking; Computer science; Philosophy; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["scholarly_communication"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00134905,0.0002512119,0.0004307218,0.0001583057,0.001023062,0.001195725,0.0008021421,0.0001995923,0.000903185],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001527854,0.0001442508,0.0003564213,0.00006026022,0.001527355,0.002855383,0.0001036132,0.001453347,0.0001042963],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007376062,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005062361,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001561325,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00009124581,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978829,0.0001988506,0.0006692958,0.0002505523,0.0006412651,0.0003571613],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982076,0.000356499,0.0005203626,0.0003414738,0.0003203599,0.0002537476],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007794225,0.0001497528,0.000005715741,0.00002018919,0.00004629012,0.0006104842,0.00747489,0.00003822802,0.00007207132,0.9807622,0.00228677,0.0084555],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003332658,0.0007720673,0.00002746388,0.0001579022,0.0000694399,0.001333956,0.002650016,0.0001035123,0.0000166749,0.7463863,0.2479433,0.0002060625],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07401197,0.01735126,0.0001751277,0.782584,0.01284008,0.0004229123,0.00001728478,0.00009105686,0.1125063],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9707212,0.0007305689,0.00005946868,0.02053295,0.007322799,0.0000035788,0.000001055677,0.0000178171,0.000610486],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8967093,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998412,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1205926440839829,"score_gpt":0.2869356180893501,"score_spread":0.1663429740053673,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}