{"id":"W2096261678","doi":"10.3386/w14764","title":"Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":94,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Canadian Institute for Advanced Research","keywords":"Business; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004937696,0.0001529573,0.0004125631,0.0009472409,0.0006501226,0.0000816163,0.0003359892,0.0003530714,0.0004790102],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002454276,0.0001820717,0.00005565113,0.0005338086,0.0007284466,0.0002098473,0.0002547726,0.0005076796,0.00003824295],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":true,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.008161976,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01009787,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0188031,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0263499,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974414,0.0003157475,0.0005465739,0.0004489593,0.0008709797,0.0003763858],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99694,0.0009265281,0.0002002914,0.0001343156,0.001684567,0.0001143417],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008912061,0.000538139,0.04360073,0.00005910361,0.0001877584,0.00001342882,0.01588035,0.00007172574,0.0001824161,0.7819424,0.1547743,0.002660539],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001268942,0.0002283617,0.07191388,0.0002990385,0.00003339206,0.00001300323,0.009113129,0.0001042202,0.0001934964,0.869074,0.0469286,0.0008299503],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02620487,0.001242994,3.898616e-7,0.001679138,0.0002490185,0.0007852174,0.00008696062,0.00001532482,0.9697361],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9668469,0.008589737,0.0002448896,0.00002777285,0.0003855597,0.0001063778,0.000145642,0.00003142662,0.0236217],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9461144,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9956455,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3091387058289015,"score_gpt":0.5554329453821987,"score_spread":0.2462942395532972,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}