{"id":"W2096928782","doi":"10.34989/swp-2013-14","title":"Are Sunspots Learnable? An Experimental Investigation in a Simple General-Equilibrium Model","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Steady state (chemistry); Stochastic game; Economics; Convergence (economics); Production (economics); Function (biology); Productivity; Mathematics; Sunspot; Simple (philosophy); Econometrics; Mathematical economics; Externality; Physics; Microeconomics; Chemistry","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00567708,0.0006530838,0.001337546,0.0002855476,0.0005010702,0.001456011,0.00132724,0.001871291,0.005263838],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03153182,0.0004922431,0.0006032487,0.0003413141,0.001406081,0.0022044,0.0009925379,0.001391302,0.0003044739],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006119282,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005712523,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008289863,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007316899,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976827,0.001478909,0.0001183819,0.0004007939,0.0001709989,0.0001482132],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9615155,0.02902225,0.003833795,0.004192615,0.000597144,0.0008386114],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0385557,0.03303215,0.07706036,0.003312563,0.002805922,0.002168224,0.008671907,0.3609359,0.08231318,0.2888068,0.009295734,0.09304158],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0097323,0.02032201,0.03308551,0.000134074,0.000583452,0.0003990661,0.001281582,0.5532916,0.01144032,0.3650241,0.004439613,0.0002662934],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9856493,0.0000885433,0.01058824,0.0005035262,0.00003110357,0.0001972996,0.0001600471,0.00004546878,0.002736409],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.993767,0.00006920126,0.004986672,0.000142703,0.00001781038,0.0002042577,0.00008697093,0.000008666991,0.0007167188],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00567708,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03002357,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04935245369096333,"score_gpt":0.2471828483517947,"score_spread":0.1978303946608313,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}