{"id":"W2098580043","doi":"","title":"The Trough Deepens","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Recession; Gross domestic product; Pessimism; Economics; Trough (economics); Real gross domestic product; Consumption (sociology); Economy; Geography; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007963015,0.0004006579,0.0005214995,0.0008540383,0.003078763,0.00703725,0.000583368,0.002091932,0.06313696],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002161285,0.0002196063,0.0004269667,0.001056743,0.001057865,0.003938573,0.002485354,0.004211891,0.01278664],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002272237,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002286467,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01122451,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01241405,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994667,0.00003115414,0.00001733301,0.0001107248,0.0001219302,0.0002522671],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999036,0.00005513601,0.0001254953,0.00006929404,0.0003511047,0.000363053],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004263184,0.0001200955,0.01248431,0.0002888736,0.00003716626,0.0005332162,0.004060305,0.0001623836,0.002903101,0.06814475,0.7089794,0.2018601],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001692764,0.00007256823,0.01459264,0.0001426743,0.00001077545,0.0001659873,0.004165302,0.0001091803,0.0003851783,0.008627168,0.971693,0.00001870701],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1371655,0.01136446,0.006382983,0.3085442,0.02062584,0.00009240978,0.006444157,0.002576699,0.5068036],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6412685,0.005638105,0.001615052,0.04441659,0.005316251,0.00006681019,0.003208961,0.001175659,0.2972942],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06313696,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2112142,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05215729435810513,"score_gpt":0.3097903623499329,"score_spread":0.2576330679918278,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}