{"id":"W2100091374","doi":"10.1017/s1049096509090775","title":"Obama and the Economy in 2008","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PS Political Science & Politics","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Victory; Presidential election; Voting; Government (linguistics); Political science; Presidential system; Political economy; Economics; Public administration; Law; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002205472,0.0001138455,0.000205138,0.0001039698,0.0007431305,0.0002733433,0.0003578958,0.00008091938,0.00004519775],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001690121,0.00008088236,0.00004442841,0.0004240774,0.004670494,0.0003761479,0.0000403476,0.0001870421,0.00004881066],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004613515,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006063112,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02505309,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00170673,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968086,0.0002427556,0.0003326715,0.0002719352,0.0004014995,0.001942563],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982753,0.0004749988,0.00004027346,0.0001982821,0.0001195478,0.0008916281],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000003346419,0.00002652293,0.007429716,0.000002314635,7.00523e-7,0.000001468533,0.0009576223,7.450813e-7,0.00001263161,0.9912065,0.00007412252,0.0002843248],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004834451,0.00005264836,0.08965533,0.00001544799,0.000008342511,0.000003717662,0.0006984312,0.0004588399,0.0001154603,0.8960304,0.01231551,0.0001624034],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5816028,0.00008016199,0.00004866179,0.09843958,0.0001730031,0.0003721495,0.000003850087,0.00005058043,0.3192292],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9931362,0.000004072984,0.00005167347,0.005745437,0.0004520607,0.00001112531,4.669128e-7,0.00000376399,0.000595155],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4115334,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9980382,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03522019768122763,"score_gpt":0.3686293268177244,"score_spread":0.3334091291364967,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}