{"id":"W2100231123","doi":"10.1017/s1537592714000863","title":"The Ballot and the Street: An Electoral Theory of Social Protest in Autocracies","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Perspectives on Politics","topic":"Politics and Society in Latin America","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":92,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Opposition (politics); Autocracy; Political economy; Political science; Indigenous; Politics; Social movement; Victory; Democracy; Authoritarianism; Contentious politics; Development economics; Economics; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001544922,0.0003120697,0.0003634884,0.00216878,0.003865502,0.003888663,0.001000783,0.001561801,0.01374813],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002767381,0.0002267303,0.0005375773,0.001635319,0.00572582,0.004077613,0.002416153,0.001195626,0.0008409334],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0025448,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001206833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006540269,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00661996,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987193,0.0007102422,0.00003410197,0.0001495755,0.0001511282,0.0002357971],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987665,0.0006269199,0.0002390146,0.0001116262,0.0001112915,0.0001446165],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001825588,0.0000345701,0.002330598,0.00002803591,0.000006741965,0.00009366538,0.003289358,0.00110568,0.00004046487,0.9857278,0.00146212,0.005862749],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007341817,0.0001133487,0.01164316,0.0001769188,0.00002585255,0.0002900567,0.01168294,0.01714205,0.000134259,0.8427927,0.1158944,0.0000309874],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2799166,0.002736172,0.09464578,0.02309602,0.0006029524,0.0002382309,0.000301268,0.0001062495,0.5983567],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.978166,0.0005018993,0.0033359,0.0004016921,0.0002051369,0.00009323564,0.00005297608,0.00001882868,0.01722433],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01374813,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04599214,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01331765017092948,"score_gpt":0.3152421693330014,"score_spread":0.3019245191620719,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}