{"id":"W2101410875","doi":"10.1016/j.fertnstert.2008.08.001","title":"Degrees of Uncertainty—“Statistically Insignificant”","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"Fertility and Sterility","topic":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Ottawa Fertility Centre","funders":"","keywords":"Statistics; Mathematics; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001459957,0.0002821987,0.0007680749,0.0001332444,0.0001920233,0.00009531375,0.0008205304,0.0005392204,0.0003116985],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002372028,0.0002101669,0.0001779406,0.0003497077,0.001134829,0.00009041786,0.0003033866,0.0007863432,0.00002511138],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003507031,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001377294,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006320666,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001188878,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9961268,0.0003803374,0.001217746,0.0009050797,0.001062334,0.0003076933],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9955885,0.001918214,0.0004372629,0.001423256,0.0005383363,0.00009440328],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009711995,0.00009861846,0.001681544,0.0001552658,0.00002754196,0.00003526632,0.0002831084,0.000009373775,0.00004710206,0.0001175223,0.9637143,0.03285913],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001066749,0.0001270441,0.460934,0.00004038387,0.00002217104,0.00001134215,0.00002667721,0.002479617,0.00003480069,0.03108564,0.504864,0.0002676375],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5242581,0.0006594714,0.06492872,0.3799751,0.0007114951,0.002864114,0.008302277,0.0005617908,0.01773893],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9372703,0.00005477385,0.01305665,0.04695264,0.0002618297,0.00009386893,0.0002508629,0.00003179918,0.002027258],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4592524,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8570358,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2377308072676222,"score_gpt":0.3820995390576589,"score_spread":0.1443687317900367,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}