{"id":"W2103703399","doi":"10.1017/s1365100513000084","title":"HOW DO INTERNATIONAL STOCK MARKETS RESPOND TO OIL DEMAND AND SUPPLY SHOCKS?","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Macroeconomic Dynamics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":89,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Stock (firearms); Oil supply; Oil price; Stock market crash; Monetary economics; Aggregate demand; Stock market; Demand shock; Financial economics; Monetary policy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006784892,0.0003374423,0.0004717534,0.001206469,0.0001958272,0.002479221,0.0003137274,0.00102193,0.004021405],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004718624,0.0002548001,0.0005450051,0.001518798,0.0004118047,0.002572336,0.0008169844,0.0009856062,0.0008966906],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005065949,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002513775,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006578313,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00661476,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999723,0.00003690198,0.00002972224,0.00006453846,0.0000558128,0.00009005957],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985921,0.0003008756,0.0007335974,0.00008009598,0.0001686192,0.000124766],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002784964,0.000146643,0.9271655,0.0001169655,0.0004296989,0.0003671083,0.000641925,0.01146064,0.003233825,0.009936537,0.003912983,0.04230961],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003112093,0.00008775874,0.9664057,0.00003892644,0.00009306319,0.0001401984,0.001661255,0.01208927,0.001121186,0.01338879,0.004896142,0.00004645243],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9743901,0.001383364,0.001889545,0.004111565,0.00009230988,0.00003092577,0.001408549,0.00005036407,0.01664325],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967894,0.0009482297,0.0001055395,0.0003171486,0.00006091495,0.000007190399,0.0006019333,0.000009143122,0.001160477],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006578313,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01345295,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009093012425353987,"score_gpt":0.203152229914377,"score_spread":0.194059217489023,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}