{"id":"W2107323892","doi":"10.1186/1475-2875-13-329","title":"Development and validation of climate and ecosystem-based early malaria epidemic prediction models in East Africa","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Malaria Journal","topic":"Malaria Research and Control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":22,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Ministry of Health, Uganda; International Development Research Centre","keywords":"Malaria; Parasitology; Tropical medicine; Public health; Geography; Ecology; Biology; Medicine; Zoology; Immunology; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002524407,0.0001306292,0.0003498427,0.0003118623,0.0001008994,0.00006145878,0.00006172327,0.0001172029,0.00005296912],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002449652,0.0001087587,0.00003933352,0.0001303762,0.00002845902,0.0002063791,0.0000369591,0.0003664792,0.000003154115],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008459159,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001745672,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001111358,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001600289,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982725,0.0002478014,0.0005840021,0.0001925018,0.0003680024,0.0003351495],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991706,0.00009670542,0.0001982853,0.0001295595,0.0001447368,0.000260113],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01309144,0.001105026,0.7592835,0.002751515,0.0007113807,0.000244449,0.00627839,0.00535537,0.0580774,0.0660506,0.000342403,0.08670849],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0112708,0.0009610294,0.6619323,0.000952299,0.0001352469,0.0004004052,0.0002139453,0.3195954,0.001708248,0.001623734,0.0009866836,0.000219905],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9767538,0.0002263495,0.0184539,0.002576988,0.00009011444,0.0004239151,0.00001324877,0.00001684812,0.001444848],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948194,0.00006401439,0.004901586,0.00003427518,0.0001035941,0.00001995419,0.00000857003,0.00001478944,0.00003384249],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.31424,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.443505,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02426679097106264,"score_gpt":0.2487932575867364,"score_spread":0.2245264666156737,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}