{"id":"W2108866660","doi":"10.1890/130230","title":"Rising complexity and falling explanatory power in ecology","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":107,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Explanatory power; Ecology; Perspective (graphical); Falling (accident); Power (physics); Sociology; Biology; Psychology; Mathematics; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000919988,0.0002808022,0.00103131,0.00007813696,0.0001493308,0.00001494719,0.0002263812,0.0003494764,0.003259728],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003077337,0.0002090194,0.00008499963,0.00007182528,0.001667963,0.00004676182,0.0004053826,0.0004542072,0.0001491135],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008578001,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00000695004,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00004002071,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004284573,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980509,0.0005435648,0.0004343401,0.0004744889,0.000105098,0.0003916258],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993013,0.0001977959,0.00019529,0.0002340612,5.579093e-7,0.00007097152],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001634559,0.0005870514,0.5797528,0.001490755,0.0002582173,0.0001324349,0.001777787,0.00009582374,5.791384e-7,0.005898862,0.01128654,0.3985557],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001017408,0.00004376104,0.1218991,0.0001139681,0.00007946607,0.00002074966,0.0005163637,0.00006293915,1.065509e-7,0.001584723,0.8743871,0.0002742432],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.02018267,0.9737379,0.00008728317,0.0002842284,0.000734471,0.0009032677,0.00003433528,0.00001275586,0.004023083],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01067407,0.9885908,0.0001588147,0.0002699046,0.00001310009,0.0001244434,0.00004003657,0.0000161125,0.0001126725],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8631006,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9976514,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02716169491406665,"score_gpt":0.2511784716433441,"score_spread":0.2240167767292774,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}