{"id":"W2109357873","doi":"10.3386/w21695","title":"Overconfidence And Preferences For Competition","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":134,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"John Templeton Foundation","keywords":"Competition (biology); Overconfidence effect; Trait; Economics; Demographic economics; Compensation (psychology); Graduation (instrument); Labour economics; Social psychology; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001469778,0.0002457673,0.0002967375,0.0007488896,0.0005196569,0.001390101,0.0002940127,0.0004229119,0.004935125],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007826442,0.0001527182,0.0001935665,0.0005336748,0.000583442,0.0004799147,0.0005926428,0.0008162659,0.0003766625],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003369724,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002366174,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002702198,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004259513,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993188,0.0002662045,0.00004192579,0.00009041429,0.0001664093,0.0001162277],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9831461,0.004000789,0.008938197,0.0009551086,0.0005621142,0.002397716],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002394465,0.0005528409,0.988104,0.00001711234,0.00005896092,0.00008578403,0.0008206772,0.00009043972,0.0008052127,0.000699147,0.0002468111,0.00827965],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001550194,0.0001907256,0.9966642,0.00001102219,0.00001691835,0.0001321383,0.001121563,0.0003990123,0.0001630007,0.001006016,0.0002710369,0.000008832333],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9984204,0.0000678603,0.00007515412,0.00008532068,0.000003424228,0.000002583089,0.00004431181,9.226157e-7,0.001300086],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993706,0.00003947089,0.00006789709,0.00004481852,0.000008199077,0.000004094453,0.0000591288,6.88267e-7,0.0004051011],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004935125,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01650959,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6309883140900789,"score_gpt":0.6065572024868817,"score_spread":0.02443111160319722,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}