{"id":"W2109357873","doi":"10.3386/w21695","title":"Overconfidence And Preferences For Competition","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":134,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"John Templeton Foundation","keywords":"Competition (biology); Overconfidence effect; Trait; Economics; Demographic economics; Compensation (psychology); Graduation (instrument); Labour economics; Social psychology; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.009261437,0.0001257458,0.0003660989,0.0003081052,0.0003452474,0.00009941959,0.0003217461,0.0002616123,0.0001873514],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00195212,0.0001392042,0.00007486215,0.0000612532,0.001050335,0.0002439147,0.0001535562,0.0002564742,0.00003211334],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003513471,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.007309425,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01933545,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01022508,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974321,0.0001470158,0.0004201743,0.0003885538,0.001313949,0.0002982765],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9949872,0.0009846401,0.0002456919,0.0001108045,0.003553153,0.0001184375],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004154642,0.00004955769,0.002007322,0.00009051091,0.00006943457,2.808496e-7,0.001392588,0.000007329212,0.00006115163,0.89591,0.09912626,0.001244025],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003537957,0.0001821686,0.0004368445,0.0001217591,0.00001501418,0.000001728883,0.003433769,0.0000225535,0.0001618874,0.8186262,0.1764053,0.0002390186],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01089277,0.002044456,0.000001292648,0.0006653522,0.000601314,0.0009349688,0.0002737693,0.00001398629,0.9845721],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9827156,0.006023827,0.0003703464,0.00001066086,0.001100458,0.0003426007,0.0001979034,0.00002173979,0.009216868],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9753552,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9983182,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6309883140900789,"score_gpt":0.6065572024868817,"score_spread":0.02443111160319722,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}