{"id":"W2109920861","doi":"10.1002/fut.20122","title":"Weather derivatives valuation and market price of weather risk","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Futures Markets","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":210,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"The Scarborough Hospital; University of Toronto; York University","funders":"","keywords":"Valuation (finance); Econometrics; Economics; Market price; Dividend; Aggregate (composite); Financial economics; Microeconomics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001337976,0.0003532345,0.0004088896,0.0005545751,0.0002517963,0.00218638,0.000412651,0.0007522603,0.002509381],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006322933,0.0001891118,0.0003729096,0.0005216363,0.001137109,0.003836327,0.0005959703,0.0008229147,0.0001284236],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007816032,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000449005,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001268419,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007165905,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996746,0.00014185,0.00001902218,0.00003824638,0.00009753637,0.00002879683],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982323,0.0008243454,0.0004506206,0.0001288398,0.0002361451,0.0001278371],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001601828,0.00005785446,0.009862432,0.00007486124,0.00005344753,0.0005618065,0.0001760341,0.3207214,0.005906195,0.6429915,0.0009415619,0.01849273],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002466662,0.00006826357,0.004620267,0.0000189875,0.00001687426,0.0001371736,0.00007888323,0.8005764,0.001245272,0.1917844,0.001400418,0.00002842747],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6680993,0.001666021,0.3082852,0.001162812,0.0001192234,0.0000502865,0.0001840509,0.0001261299,0.02030689],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948949,0.0001948184,0.003860881,0.00001105397,0.00004000997,0.000005235878,0.00002967085,0.000008027271,0.0009553212],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002509381,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.008394718,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0173120841115934,"score_gpt":0.2181164324315021,"score_spread":0.2008043483199087,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}