{"id":"W2111769854","doi":"","title":"From growth to cycles through beliefs","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Economic Growth and Productivity","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Frontier; Productivity; Boom; Value (mathematics); Function (biology); Sunspot; Aggregate (composite); Scope (computer science); Microeconomics; Macroeconomics; Mathematics; Physics; Engineering; Political science; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009905178,0.0004594872,0.0003405095,0.0005633236,0.0008009757,0.003381409,0.000563035,0.001639534,0.007507091],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00756574,0.0002897611,0.0005112889,0.0006797502,0.00293272,0.005946185,0.001523133,0.001746267,0.0005693159],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001790374,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000919466,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004114067,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001853835,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994588,0.0002770939,0.00001519299,0.0001062543,0.00006156164,0.0000809841],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9973915,0.001629633,0.0003389734,0.0002451415,0.0001924004,0.0002023883],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002141032,0.00001051614,0.0006854045,0.0000243316,0.000007307875,0.00008691141,0.0004211918,0.007778002,0.0001092567,0.9852715,0.001161842,0.0044223],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000105618,0.000007448143,0.0001819367,0.00001486419,0.000004099123,0.00002951123,0.0001293995,0.01607962,0.00005064843,0.9806535,0.002833,0.000005395234],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3130482,0.005157589,0.3225494,0.04675497,0.0003112802,0.00009662542,0.000920437,0.0004422098,0.3107193],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9834645,0.0009587269,0.007132394,0.0004542482,0.00007703099,0.00005939434,0.0001012856,0.00003471439,0.007717699],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.007507091,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0251137,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07753200368081509,"score_gpt":0.2941521332994866,"score_spread":0.2166201296186715,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}