{"id":"W2111894314","doi":"10.1111/1467-8454.00160","title":"A Joint Test of the Rational Expectations‐Permanent Income Hypothesis under Seasonal Cointegration","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Australian Economic Papers","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Cointegration; Economics; Rational expectations; Econometrics; Test (biology); Joint (building); Permanent income hypothesis; Unemployment; Macroeconomics; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001901887,0.000194517,0.0003467871,0.0001347802,0.0001579763,0.00005530168,0.0002612553,0.00009707591,0.007944888],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008386572,0.0001888761,0.0002595051,0.00007463947,0.0001637573,0.0003089775,0.00003230905,0.000136791,0.002291613],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003403849,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002085132,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003326658,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001128417,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985156,0.00002150475,0.0007984659,0.0003361973,0.00003050937,0.0002977304],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988906,0.0001281042,0.0004850125,0.0003866991,0.000006846331,0.0001026895],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004591044,0.0005836323,0.6497524,0.0001071984,0.0007921524,0.000003539303,0.004816396,0.05686735,0.001984008,0.2310777,0.05183754,0.002132184],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0012016,0.00009684035,0.9476345,0.00003386341,0.00002825432,0.00003752586,0.0006067317,0.02309835,0.001340747,0.01371758,0.0116087,0.000595378],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9527714,0.0001194691,0.00001479699,0.007015398,0.0004326752,0.0002520614,0.0005567842,0.00002404634,0.0388134],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9900532,0.00004520125,0.0002487346,0.0004169173,0.0001424674,0.00002528152,0.00001672933,0.00002118331,0.009030338],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2978821,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9984852,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1004532819601625,"score_gpt":0.2220240185879724,"score_spread":0.12157073662781,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}