{"id":"W2111916083","doi":"10.1111/twec.12217","title":"The Macroeconomic Effects of the Canada–US Free Trade Agreement on Canada: A Counterfactual Analysis","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"World Economy","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","keywords":"Counterfactual thinking; Economics; Unemployment; Productivity; Real gross domestic product; Counterfactual conditional; Unemployment rate; Free trade agreement; Macroeconomics; International economics; Free trade","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01393255,0.0007633774,0.00144582,0.00165244,0.002167016,0.004695657,0.002324898,0.00188156,0.003235322],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03117249,0.0004541564,0.002338193,0.003204914,0.002287875,0.001032453,0.001408015,0.002214791,0.0001901642],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02211688,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01785422,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.8787729,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7130679,"domain_scores_codex":[0.990276,0.005503755,0.0004368451,0.0009304479,0.001557059,0.001295872],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9607557,0.02127281,0.007246505,0.002929242,0.006863932,0.0009317478],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01085705,0.001623562,0.4016092,0.00065144,0.004991776,0.001567696,0.000680137,0.4605017,0.001553585,0.07808466,0.01785588,0.02002341],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00398371,0.001790952,0.4175161,0.0002572098,0.005994767,0.000297601,0.001751054,0.5198395,0.006255385,0.01246368,0.02933397,0.00051612],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9672955,0.002214894,0.005495275,0.003400124,0.0004617719,0.0005543773,0.008953983,0.0001510658,0.01147308],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9936391,0.0003318598,0.001465816,0.0003468541,0.00005912637,0.0001265207,0.00257128,0.00001290717,0.001446666],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9778831,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.243882,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008711711522683453,"score_gpt":0.1539566517269621,"score_spread":0.1452449402042787,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}