{"id":"W2113250844","doi":"10.1016/j.cognition.2007.01.001","title":"Violations of coherence in subjective probability: A representational and assessment processes account","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Cognition","topic":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Defence Research and Development Canada; University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Coherence (philosophical gambling strategy); Pessimism; Cognitive psychology; Cognition; Probability estimation; Social psychology; Statistics; Artificial intelligence; Mathematics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002061501,0.00006306678,0.0001416349,0.0002362521,0.00005582205,0.00007966002,0.0001096939,0.00004726057,0.00009868801],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002391646,0.00005334382,0.00002236547,0.0005868104,0.0001033841,0.0004051671,0.00004777758,0.00008478582,0.00001147202],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004849346,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001751981,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002547396,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006045662,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986274,0.00004817235,0.0005202166,0.0003031343,0.0004028623,0.00009817396],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9971985,0.001699836,0.0002263313,0.0001454295,0.0006939935,0.00003595755],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009432439,0.0003038971,0.5048453,0.00001406552,0.000004423279,0.000004286204,0.0006132792,0.00006641648,0.001267516,0.0005224835,0.00004237914,0.4922217],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001960854,0.00004718484,0.6121703,0.00004103208,0.000006602696,0.000004746871,0.0009280905,0.0002272307,0.00158234,0.3846514,0.00008504303,0.0000599889],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9873157,0.00002641691,0.005811828,0.00008874643,0.00005644892,0.0002583781,0.00002586193,0.000009588547,0.006407021],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9962607,0.000006051507,0.003639596,0.00002731938,0.00001401574,0.00001943952,0.00001120996,0.000003008141,0.0000186831],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4921617,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2863197,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1909552604968537,"score_gpt":0.4616539005071716,"score_spread":0.2706986400103179,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}