{"id":"W2115326800","doi":"10.1177/002795011422900103","title":"The Long-Term Economic Impact of Reducing Migration in the UK","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"National Institute Economic Review","topic":"Migration and Labor Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"Economic and Social Research Council","keywords":"Computable general equilibrium; Net migration rate; Economics; Population; Term (time); Baseline (sea); Government (linguistics); Demographic economics; Macroeconomics; Population growth; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003033773,0.00007428049,0.0001523385,0.000042487,0.0002488845,0.00007677234,0.0003355696,0.00004071651,0.0002208092],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002980647,0.00004678605,0.0001222928,0.00008175127,0.0001581025,0.0002738925,0.00001164897,0.00008397552,0.00009258721],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006960027,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008194115,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002305082,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09044211,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989898,0.0002238954,0.0004207798,0.0001255735,0.0001229589,0.0001169596],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992611,0.0002516074,0.000254046,0.0001494489,0.00005542425,0.00002839807],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000005488685,0.00001729929,0.01166726,0.00006960062,0.00003118157,1.654603e-7,0.001665935,0.0116433,0.00000469905,0.9351385,0.01008177,0.02967486],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005490977,0.00006275342,0.1407028,0.0008921669,0.00004895774,0.000007704902,0.0001996614,0.02298189,0.00000595582,0.006382998,0.8277731,0.0003928914],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9197755,0.00924504,0.0001101306,0.01176221,0.0008439564,0.0009653707,0.00003359407,0.00001640638,0.05724772],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9460511,0.05282112,0.00002690704,0.0004187976,0.0002757693,0.00003364017,0.00004090666,0.000003577976,0.0003281604],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9287555,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.926155,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0369450247541872,"score_gpt":0.369727924857143,"score_spread":0.3327829001029557,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}