{"id":"W2116748235","doi":"10.1890/02-5377","title":"BACKCASTING AND FORECASTING BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS OF INLAND LAKES","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecological Applications","topic":"Aquatic Invertebrate Ecology and Behavior","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":121,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Windsor","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Biological dispersal; Ecology; Invasive species; Introduced species; Propagule pressure; Propagule; Population; Geography; Freshwater ecosystem; Ecosystem; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004673828,0.0005859765,0.0003544792,0.0008036164,0.0003205549,0.0007659332,0.0006022144,0.0006135458,0.0006572013],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001750548,0.0003639872,0.0003392903,0.0003887066,0.0002936367,0.0007397375,0.000518369,0.0004786742,0.0001111243],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001022579,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007745252,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.09849431,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1086173,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998816,0.00002370277,0.000009171443,0.00003319202,0.00001970029,0.00003262277],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994224,0.0001920537,0.0001283093,0.0000296307,0.0001296953,0.00009786626],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002301358,0.00008889566,0.1234821,0.00002888051,0.00007107963,0.0001295708,0.0001196044,0.8543463,0.002521135,0.0004704376,0.0009533501,0.01755857],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007507306,0.00001169505,0.007918879,0.000001733052,0.000004404676,0.00000296739,0.00002499573,0.9916922,0.0001447708,0.0001055676,0.00008278629,0.000002529933],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9887761,0.0001103294,0.00960847,0.0001869829,0.00003557072,0.00001686731,0.0003225861,0.000298247,0.000644746],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967141,0.00003648894,0.002749527,0.000008327209,0.00001293506,0.000004569043,0.0002712721,0.000007424633,0.0001952979],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09849431,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.195842,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08424454980821644,"score_gpt":0.2442781334606537,"score_spread":0.1600335836524373,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}