{"id":"W2120212072","doi":"10.1016/j.cognition.2012.10.010","title":"Rational variability in children’s causal inferences: The Sampling Hypothesis","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Cognition","topic":"Child and Animal Learning Development","field":"Psychology","cited_by":129,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Sampling (signal processing); Statistics; Set (abstract data type); Block (permutation group theory); Probability distribution; Probabilistic logic; Sampling distribution; Event (particle physics); Statistical hypothesis testing; Cognitive psychology; Econometrics; Mathematics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008533214,0.00006783585,0.00006683254,0.00003514389,0.00009490782,0.00001789898,0.00005705425,0.00005069496,0.001872068],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003121881,0.00004996306,0.00002416982,0.00009308873,0.00003796038,0.00007168271,0.00001804923,0.0001501414,0.0003993013],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003002044,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000246469,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001674476,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000008993163,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992394,0.0001970674,0.0001413217,0.0001336845,0.00009137885,0.0001970925],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994176,0.0003959862,0.00004153287,0.0000865125,0.00002500778,0.00003337533],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000234077,0.000184234,0.9643945,0.000002227456,0.00002660384,1.669222e-7,0.001847795,0.000002507144,0.0001311536,0.007903059,0.000210323,0.0252741],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001927792,0.00001021761,0.9958532,0.00001176353,0.00001079238,0.000008281822,0.0001188693,0.000003671905,0.00007295395,0.002938802,0.0007056397,0.00007301034],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9820417,0.00005251886,0.001064487,0.0002942857,0.000232754,0.0001630193,0.000009316304,0.00003075708,0.01611113],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988746,0.000003376585,0.0003241839,0.0003231452,0.0003034013,0.00004707199,0.00004820965,0.000005610639,0.00007038454],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0314588,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9990404,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06122545367515429,"score_gpt":0.3055559088994343,"score_spread":0.24433045522428,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}