{"id":"W2120212072","doi":"10.1016/j.cognition.2012.10.010","title":"Rational variability in children’s causal inferences: The Sampling Hypothesis","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Cognition","topic":"Child and Animal Learning Development","field":"Psychology","cited_by":129,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Sampling (signal processing); Statistics; Set (abstract data type); Block (permutation group theory); Probability distribution; Probabilistic logic; Sampling distribution; Event (particle physics); Statistical hypothesis testing; Cognitive psychology; Econometrics; Mathematics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01838984,0.0004972775,0.0007135509,0.001395496,0.0004415548,0.003603663,0.001269439,0.001719799,0.005592449],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1340068,0.001180625,0.0009507454,0.000735664,0.004930746,0.009423293,0.002342344,0.002815435,0.0004280125],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001020488,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001194255,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001955769,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001122248,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9910251,0.004053265,0.000421588,0.0021128,0.002009802,0.0003773948],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8272527,0.1303506,0.01437434,0.02203564,0.00427503,0.001711753],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001362517,0.0006382078,0.1904044,0.0003572939,0.0008058602,0.0008944503,0.0125037,0.02263884,0.01270539,0.6535389,0.001832427,0.102318],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001733454,0.000201554,0.09709647,0.00007481896,0.0001300102,0.0008666632,0.001134305,0.05620569,0.003807655,0.8382269,0.001984345,0.00009837046],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7807692,0.0004265345,0.1964104,0.00267333,0.00004950532,0.0001230119,0.0003281053,0.0002226335,0.01899723],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9865288,0.0001150301,0.01224727,0.0001768395,0.0000460462,0.00008667983,0.0001545089,0.00004438938,0.0006004706],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01838984,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09725589,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06122545367515429,"score_gpt":0.3055559088994343,"score_spread":0.24433045522428,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}