{"id":"W2120554597","doi":"10.1016/j.amjmed.2008.02.001","title":"Overconfidence in Clinical Decision Making","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"The American Journal of Medicine","topic":"Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills","field":"Medicine","cited_by":260,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University; Dalhousie University","funders":"","keywords":"Medicine; Emergency department; Presentation (obstetrics); Overconfidence effect; Variety (cybernetics); Process (computing); Family medicine; Psychiatry; Artificial intelligence; Surgery; Social psychology; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.009474846,0.0004049659,0.001023653,0.001002848,0.004331124,0.00387335,0.001960432,0.03934545,0.006513702],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1183975,0.0006195362,0.0007205273,0.0009568667,0.005412958,0.004657985,0.001880428,0.04000977,0.001841421],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00578525,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006730967,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01386811,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02396012,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9913793,0.004513933,0.0008962208,0.0007603933,0.001681356,0.0007689231],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8904245,0.09052362,0.003968941,0.001733411,0.008003176,0.005346249],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000255763,0.0001735061,0.00987498,0.0001301298,0.00007096541,0.009042678,0.001278357,0.0002329258,0.00009459966,0.01935614,0.9250686,0.03442139],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001576326,0.0002948854,0.02620737,0.002254254,0.0002780826,0.0315355,0.005549181,0.005982637,0.0006244219,0.2685902,0.6568681,0.000239169],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.002003026,0.0009643896,0.00009577593,0.9878925,0.004269388,0.000003443121,0.00001361569,0.000005637923,0.004752298],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.06507685,0.001940993,0.0004384863,0.8833436,0.04412736,0.00003266772,0.00002895572,0.00001889826,0.004992183],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03934545,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05010837,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05037540079234066,"score_gpt":0.4211962274682767,"score_spread":0.3708208266759361,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}