{"id":"W2123845727","doi":"10.1287/mnsc.1110.1427","title":"Calendar Cycles, Infrequent Decisions, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Management Science","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":26,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"Hong Kong Polytechnic University","keywords":"Stylized fact; Economics; Capital asset pricing model; Interim; Financial economics; Consumption (sociology); Stock (firearms); Monetary economics; Finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001382999,0.00007609525,0.0001439573,0.0001671022,0.0002504626,0.00005981376,0.000336126,0.00002204822,0.00008283263],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008494133,0.0000579899,0.00003539185,0.000363234,0.001056749,0.0003882873,0.0001847707,0.00005525072,0.00001555652],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003542988,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000008656597,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003654349,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001819698,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991266,0.000008859268,0.0003301629,0.0002799584,0.00007305369,0.0001814155],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994344,0.00002243584,0.0001957024,0.0002906043,0.0000213722,0.00003546284],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000287563,0.00002555567,0.0288519,0.00001305357,0.000007486932,9.399787e-7,0.0004705938,0.000006139436,0.000006675275,0.9685438,0.0003433784,0.001701682],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004949839,0.00004715808,0.792068,0.000017144,0.000004166243,9.8258e-7,0.0001780768,0.0005160939,0.00009176532,0.1990951,0.007390025,0.00009656934],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7630078,0.0007072977,0.001657823,0.0001458168,0.0006095771,0.0003576047,0.00003160482,0.00001876147,0.2334637],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972324,0.0006851294,0.00113832,0.0001401343,0.00001902519,0.00001781522,4.753344e-7,0.000004016303,0.0007627131],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7694488,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3893636,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05390811798825154,"score_gpt":0.2416452168415165,"score_spread":0.187737098853265,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}