{"id":"W2124476392","doi":"10.1002/met.52","title":"Forecast verification: current status and future directions","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Meteorological Applications","topic":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":301,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Computer science; Forecast verification; Event (particle physics); Process (computing); Functional verification; Data verification; Verification and validation of computer simulation models; Software verification; Data science; Operations research; Formal verification; Data mining; Software; Forecast skill; Software development; Geography; Meteorology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.03002438,0.0008177832,0.00114341,0.00242071,0.001016909,0.004894803,0.003913727,0.004578841,0.01250406],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04270394,0.000436071,0.001144572,0.002306298,0.003694918,0.01415495,0.002925121,0.002955059,0.003079464],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002107954,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006896633,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004917478,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002025682,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9933478,0.002360091,0.0006084986,0.0008008853,0.002481944,0.0004007752],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.929688,0.04473506,0.002913982,0.003982396,0.01693133,0.001749269],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001959727,0.0001025706,0.002029598,0.002158185,0.00003884096,0.0000601584,0.0001459794,0.004825488,0.000422304,0.03677623,0.02251235,0.9307322],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002376468,0.0008546078,0.005889119,0.01380065,0.0001973797,0.001101219,0.002060461,0.07751178,0.005800461,0.2577096,0.6345479,0.0002892514],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.007325075,0.7948906,0.08041847,0.09062634,0.00514467,0.0001282196,0.0003956749,0.001859711,0.01921133],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1590664,0.7138389,0.09799451,0.009554966,0.009721581,0.0002112146,0.001492079,0.0003205076,0.007799916],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.03002438,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.158786,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03968620783540099,"score_gpt":0.2469762135315269,"score_spread":0.2072900056961259,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}