{"id":"W2126478910","doi":"10.1353/mcb.2005.0046","title":"Tax Smoothing with Stochastic Interest Rates: A Reassessment of Clinton's Fiscal Legacy","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of money credit and banking","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; Queen's University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Smoothing; Debt; Monetary economics; Fiscal policy; Keynesian economics; Macroeconomics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007097115,0.0001423933,0.0005148184,0.0002704919,0.00006950757,0.0001029435,0.0001766865,0.00007636315,0.00007218703],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00009156022,0.0001253361,0.0001082116,0.00008636519,0.00008346368,0.0007343656,0.00005039694,0.0003044734,0.000007724841],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000079841,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002907168,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00004920981,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0000318185,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986323,0.00001324867,0.0009227016,0.0001679407,0.0000464804,0.0002173794],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985729,0.0001033997,0.001055406,0.0001229076,0.00003919486,0.0001061852],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003686219,0.002239229,0.3053371,0.001016509,0.003010591,0.0002121148,0.01858287,0.011477,0.001127589,0.500443,0.02866683,0.1242009],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01817349,0.006150557,0.5382947,0.003442309,0.0004149408,0.001532369,0.003391636,0.06749458,0.001924901,0.2978201,0.05864539,0.002715025],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9842265,0.0009258367,0.007692623,0.001951155,0.0002997299,0.00007111744,0.00002026607,0.000005942461,0.004806872],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9969033,0.00004496748,0.001812751,0.0001670717,0.0009910917,0.000001508392,0.000001338676,0.00001696217,0.00006100076],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2329576,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5111057,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04151641184797653,"score_gpt":0.2568776514346355,"score_spread":0.215361239586659,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}