{"id":"W2127229245","doi":"10.3386/w13736","title":"Global Forces and Monetary Policy Effectiveness","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":85,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Monetary policy; Economics; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003671363,0.000278746,0.0009920044,0.0009839679,0.0002096241,0.00007539451,0.0004558732,0.0004969464,0.0001203294],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001426476,0.0003274032,0.0002494519,0.0003962339,0.0004664756,0.0002004548,0.0002721498,0.0003689606,0.0002622503],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002433384,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001887044,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04644461,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004497479,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973662,0.00008286739,0.0009855591,0.0006748103,0.0003594905,0.0005310617],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979597,0.0004461994,0.0005018641,0.0003097319,0.0006361588,0.0001462922],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004027703,0.00004568214,0.03870093,0.000230683,0.0001466575,0.000003283867,0.00004465113,0.0001476153,9.497286e-7,0.9103305,0.04951175,0.0007970736],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003693214,0.0001267668,0.1401046,0.00007336065,0.000004485551,0.00004988256,0.0000111253,0.0001137143,0.000009032383,0.6957161,0.1631283,0.0002931763],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.05522487,0.01766636,0.00001060338,0.0005414328,0.000590782,0.0005316528,0.002719742,0.00001771651,0.9226968],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9767682,0.01904494,0.00006481465,0.00003806278,0.001332031,0.00006597558,0.0002652784,0.00003331336,0.002387416],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9215433,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999178,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2373112849112553,"score_gpt":0.4658471159262888,"score_spread":0.2285358310150335,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}