{"id":"W2128325556","doi":"10.1016/s0022-0531(03)00028-0","title":"Conditional preferences and updating","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Economic Theory","topic":"Economic and Environmental Valuation","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":108,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Bayes' theorem; Bayes' rule; Conditional probability; Class (philosophy); Mathematical economics; Expected utility hypothesis; Subjective expected utility; Chain rule (probability); Mathematics; Scoring rule; Computer science; Bayesian probability; Law of total probability; Artificial intelligence; Bayes factor; Statistics; Posterior probability","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00147289,0.00007549647,0.0002285633,0.00009991714,0.00005410777,0.0000337642,0.00007912135,0.00004344519,0.00275466],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000756146,0.0000818856,0.0000647303,0.00001176864,0.00007071397,0.0003634665,0.00001355398,0.00009182667,0.000273103],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001098912,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002022052,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000002639542,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000001239153,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991401,0.00003337677,0.0005947232,0.0001202824,0.00001101614,0.0001004773],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991059,0.0001077858,0.0006485811,0.00007376042,0.000004879923,0.00005910206],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000005835213,0.00001428021,0.1191862,0.00000318807,0.00004315563,5.236531e-7,0.0001122238,0.000252776,0.00001268105,0.8797619,0.0002247145,0.0003824697],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005456356,0.00006109291,0.07528512,0.00000679158,0.000007445239,0.00006491673,0.0004585508,0.00008848878,0.0001318921,0.9169874,0.006247296,0.0001153306],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9488053,0.001384993,0.001621791,0.00007973312,0.0003459325,0.00003971918,0.00002372069,0.000002884855,0.0476959],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9981861,0.000230981,0.001027888,0.0001267894,0.00008922966,0.000001484353,0.000002803803,0.000008558663,0.0003262332],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0493807,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.998157,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07087750109997067,"score_gpt":0.2179378258772703,"score_spread":0.1470603247772996,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}