{"id":"W2130766503","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2118239","title":"Commodity Trade and the Carry Trade: A Tale of Two Countries","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":83,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Carry (investment); Commodity; Economics; International trade; International economics; Business; Market economy; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004604197,0.0001065384,0.0003260697,0.00005730942,0.0001741274,0.00003695309,0.0001785369,0.00005204172,0.00005379811],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005524706,0.00008436265,0.0001168969,0.00008453037,0.000207028,0.0002031281,0.00002821285,0.0007891731,0.000002282315],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001952883,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001271992,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002019094,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003587698,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983869,0.00005820539,0.0004342674,0.0001099464,0.00004618846,0.000964492],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993116,0.0001169883,0.0003284205,0.0001706758,0.000007946217,0.00006441039],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005652236,0.00003672706,0.2149518,0.000008876495,0.00007798101,9.085811e-8,0.0004061056,0.00000122197,0.000001329449,0.7836121,0.00005061245,0.0007966154],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002776069,0.00008544399,0.07547501,0.000007738895,0.00003086959,0.0001716447,0.0004500035,0.007039494,0.000007563307,0.9008193,0.0129387,0.0001981534],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9578857,0.03085619,0.003440854,0.003082214,0.0002662531,0.0001523892,0.00008218829,0.000008030045,0.004226162],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9945605,0.005015201,0.00002887397,0.0001044246,0.0001566359,0.000003163214,0.000002284774,0.00001063907,0.0001183094],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1394768,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3440209,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01196518916894919,"score_gpt":0.2194399471407808,"score_spread":0.2074747579718316,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}