{"id":"W2132827486","doi":"","title":"An empirical perspective on uncertainty in earthquake ground motion prediction1This paper is one of a selection of papers in this Special Issue in honour of Professor Davenport.","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering","topic":"Seismic Performance and Analysis","field":"Engineering","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Perspective (graphical); Seismic hazard; Ground motion; Honour; Seismology; Strong ground motion; Attenuation; Hazard; Tectonics; Geology; Uncertainty quantification; Econometrics; Mathematics; Statistics; Geography; Physics; Geometry","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02211807,0.000794256,0.000702787,0.003096171,0.001202165,0.005321332,0.001950791,0.002429897,0.003164995],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1555852,0.0004912869,0.000597917,0.003354288,0.0108789,0.01123154,0.003202293,0.003421626,0.0001530566],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003060311,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001501108,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004972408,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004199487,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9831141,0.01206447,0.0005897142,0.001548798,0.002327135,0.0003557384],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.6493921,0.3256851,0.01302316,0.006015014,0.005196554,0.0006880531],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008032809,0.00009977392,0.05561946,0.0002219563,0.0002255377,0.0003105313,0.001416127,0.08562374,0.0003002528,0.8180924,0.002928978,0.03508091],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002048574,0.0001355596,0.01862206,0.0002798858,0.00005209913,0.0002746016,0.001835064,0.1219392,0.0005298145,0.848687,0.007546154,0.00007812119],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2151494,0.009668216,0.6362129,0.07393987,0.0003983701,0.0001075586,0.001761671,0.0001352522,0.06262679],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9659961,0.001953645,0.02951718,0.001113078,0.0005178013,0.00006820461,0.0002583672,0.00003133164,0.0005442629],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02211807,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.116973,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01243082708966175,"score_gpt":0.2180425321660197,"score_spread":0.205611705076358,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}