{"id":"W2134951088","doi":"","title":"Do international spillovers matter for long run neutrality","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economics bulletin","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Neutrality; Economics; Variance (accounting); Small open economy; Variance decomposition of forecast errors; Econometrics; Short run; Macroeconomics; Monetary policy; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005374448,0.0002253702,0.0004239509,0.0001773644,0.0001015993,0.0002033517,0.0004185677,0.0001340422,0.009599026],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000380559,0.0002973005,0.0002743918,0.00002886617,0.00004249882,0.0002087574,0.00003861155,0.0001309815,0.008529226],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002141286,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00000925069,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001437774,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00000787625,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998186,0.000007321165,0.0007733227,0.0005648538,0.00001145028,0.0004570303],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990143,0.00005390646,0.0003719077,0.0004102585,0.000009309401,0.0001403578],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004062864,0.0003019567,0.2853877,0.00004111838,0.0003928503,0.000005429671,0.0007677823,0.01196317,0.000009504426,0.3792607,0.3153099,0.00615351],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001247039,0.00007738393,0.1502505,0.000006647894,0.000006563776,0.00001134057,0.00002409002,0.002822294,0.0000543603,0.05253621,0.7924877,0.000475771],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8431179,0.0002622847,0.001506751,0.0378145,0.001588444,0.0004113507,0.0006647205,0.00004913158,0.1145849],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9849069,0.0001549239,0.001358003,0.008309507,0.0006403215,0.00002083536,0.00008815679,0.0000295824,0.004491748],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4771778,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999479,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04333551585131225,"score_gpt":0.2323281610428853,"score_spread":0.188992645191573,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}