{"id":"W2136535015","doi":"10.1007/s10683-010-9233-9","title":"An experimental test of Taylor-type rules with inexperienced central bankers","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Experimental Economics","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":28,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Windsor; McGill University","funders":"Economic and Social Research Council","keywords":"Inflation (cosmology); Weighting; Taylor rule; Monetary policy; Stability (learning theory); Economics; Interest rate; Set (abstract data type); Real interest rate; Output gap; Econometrics; Keynesian economics; Computer science; Monetary economics; Central bank; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005220613,0.0007902213,0.0009896561,0.0002961115,0.0005325873,0.001490434,0.001113434,0.001653678,0.0043654],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02190269,0.0006072697,0.0003221913,0.0001932871,0.00146726,0.0009019313,0.000929552,0.001870874,0.0008602345],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002318628,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003933685,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004801499,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003309264,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970437,0.001415895,0.0002730392,0.0005614929,0.0004563825,0.0002495521],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9628704,0.0255243,0.004907829,0.004227054,0.0009904292,0.001479998],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_scores_codex":[0.06118177,0.2017525,0.2036362,0.001090132,0.001513859,0.001833946,0.01784706,0.03937776,0.3178599,0.00992413,0.005243069,0.1387398],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.02713683,0.2907116,0.2997451,0.0003519364,0.0008094792,0.001277286,0.005797724,0.2027923,0.1295974,0.02811753,0.01314473,0.0005180686],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":"bench_or_experimental","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9986516,0.00001640607,0.0006456319,0.00007219185,0.00001718984,0.00006062478,0.00002494184,0.00001082011,0.0005007307],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9954762,0.00004089943,0.002499603,0.0002292261,0.00004574931,0.0002721917,0.00008458193,0.00001187075,0.001339717],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005220613,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02760953,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01458884212668486,"score_gpt":0.2255027119814288,"score_spread":0.210913869854744,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}