{"id":"W2137541411","doi":"10.1239/aap/1246886621","title":"On the expectation of total discounted operating costs up to default and its applications","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Advances in Applied Probability","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":60,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften; University of Waterloo; Society of Actuaries","keywords":"Mathematics; Ruin theory; Dividend; Mathematical economics; Poisson distribution; Piecewise; Expected value; Econometrics; Present value; Function (biology); Risk model; Economics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002268824,0.000149229,0.0002713843,0.00008761748,0.0001911152,0.00006455838,0.0004146334,0.00006173887,0.00002567315],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002043392,0.00009052382,0.00004067189,0.0008496961,0.0001454748,0.0002966344,0.00008704049,0.0001758156,0.00002329069],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009333112,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004344455,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000006051378,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000120132,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997647,0.0001547593,0.0007070225,0.0006469555,0.0006323884,0.0002119152],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996895,0.002052323,0.0001730835,0.0006356293,0.0001713619,0.00007261827],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002047411,0.0002723007,0.0009179987,0.00001911151,0.000003336667,1.695354e-7,0.003335295,0.0390148,0.005176703,0.7071975,0.00003279817,0.2438253],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003476763,0.0001452729,0.008470228,0.00003091972,0.000004011079,0.000001246495,0.001231587,0.007669009,0.007806676,0.9737375,0.0003624057,0.0001934308],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9620823,0.000332721,0.02674207,0.001576972,0.00005982167,0.002373349,0.00002149152,0.00002905555,0.006782212],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9964465,0.00002303859,0.002813471,0.0002802545,0.00001723732,0.0003880656,0.000002527627,0.000004144526,0.00002473449],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2665401,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3691454,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0495797537173745,"score_gpt":0.3784735713477957,"score_spread":0.3288938176304212,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}