{"id":"W2137988640","doi":"10.1177/1079063208325206","title":"Long-Term Predictive Validity of the Risk Matrix 2000","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Sexual Abuse","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Royal Ottawa Mental Health Centre; Carleton University; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Predictive validity; Recidivism; Risk assessment; Statistics; Predictive power; Term (time); Incremental validity; Cumulative risk; Psychology; Mathematics; Test validity; Computer science; Medicine; Clinical psychology; Psychometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004016128,0.0003441201,0.0004140041,0.0001350681,0.0002973826,0.00001271226,0.0007634633,0.0002382394,0.0007250978],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008144623,0.000258175,0.0001737851,0.0005262693,0.000559154,0.0001414374,0.00009670856,0.0005836287,0.0005229562],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001080816,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001101494,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002420414,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001036982,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971976,0.0004962131,0.0005795794,0.0006209107,0.0005100277,0.0005956243],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975931,0.0002463214,0.0005115255,0.001379308,0.00009902295,0.0001706952],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003819737,0.0006320638,0.8698155,0.00002414771,0.0002543744,0.0000516203,0.02261279,0.00003084366,0.0003311812,0.0002020403,0.1043391,0.001324349],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001545545,0.0005977428,0.9932402,0.00003584872,0.0001222342,0.0002320215,0.001144172,0.00002274443,0.0002595306,0.0002186428,0.002262196,0.0003190733],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.935317,0.0006205963,0.0003002519,0.00006148465,0.05704785,0.0005135364,0.0002509565,0.0001442707,0.005744025],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9924337,0.00006083645,0.0001585523,0.0001437904,0.001559313,0.00003392037,0.00001661154,0.00006475354,0.005528525],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1234247,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999871,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03943987389853988,"score_gpt":0.3136203809277802,"score_spread":0.2741805070292403,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}