{"id":"W2137988640","doi":"10.1177/1079063208325206","title":"Long-Term Predictive Validity of the Risk Matrix 2000","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Sexual Abuse","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Royal Ottawa Mental Health Centre; Carleton University; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Predictive validity; Recidivism; Risk assessment; Statistics; Predictive power; Term (time); Incremental validity; Cumulative risk; Psychology; Mathematics; Test validity; Computer science; Medicine; Clinical psychology; Psychometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0106795,0.0006169892,0.0007474818,0.002116206,0.0003167261,0.001195314,0.0006469267,0.0004600006,0.001204661],"category_scores_gemma":[0.06174111,0.0003163154,0.001403643,0.001618907,0.0004630227,0.00098125,0.0008611637,0.0009633142,0.000172473],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003705413,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006408942,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002756794,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003742692,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958941,0.002171804,0.0003675008,0.0003974381,0.001053086,0.0001161321],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9521997,0.03376237,0.007767169,0.002357113,0.003388218,0.0005254212],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002733914,0.00006526489,0.9714784,0.0000834586,0.0007718898,0.0000333845,0.0002069562,0.0006715344,0.00009280472,0.0001839278,0.000210619,0.0259284],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004811638,0.0005980763,0.9878813,0.0002074311,0.001038017,0.000327382,0.0003649855,0.00674425,0.0004800049,0.001150297,0.001121518,0.00003866672],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9918472,0.002905882,0.002480687,0.0002773095,0.00008016288,0.00006287282,0.0006136372,0.00003361959,0.001698713],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9974063,0.0006759934,0.00114564,0.00002809216,0.00003464304,0.00003247734,0.0004837663,0.000007519154,0.000185656],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0106795,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05647928,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03943987389853988,"score_gpt":0.3136203809277802,"score_spread":0.2741805070292403,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}