{"id":"W2138135895","doi":"","title":"The Long-Term Economic Impacts of Reducing Migration: the Case of the UK Migration Policy","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Computable general equilibrium; Net migration rate; Economics; Baseline (sea); Term (time); Population; Government (linguistics); Overlapping generations model; Macroeconomics; Population growth; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006981848,0.0005259091,0.0008300083,0.0005329319,0.0006740639,0.001434733,0.0007524793,0.002530239,0.004315786],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003603232,0.0002860817,0.0008417483,0.0007723458,0.0009254986,0.001205376,0.001249092,0.001526403,0.0003719759],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002798065,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001505592,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2082274,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09992117,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995273,0.0002334007,0.00001621677,0.00003519978,0.00002829966,0.0001594914],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992445,0.000349634,0.0001124211,0.0000503049,0.0001367875,0.0001064932],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004337861,0.00007696995,0.006107187,0.00009631856,0.00006168163,0.0007104982,0.0001354118,0.9662763,0.000582102,0.01837187,0.003819078,0.003328773],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00065302,0.0005629648,0.01769182,0.0001266298,0.0001614491,0.0002551743,0.001704467,0.9517753,0.001003073,0.01507073,0.01087661,0.0001187365],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9538666,0.0007916693,0.005435361,0.005691412,0.0001909248,0.00006659277,0.002233745,0.00009326004,0.03163043],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9926655,0.0003514541,0.001044643,0.0002413406,0.00001688853,0.00004525722,0.0003368124,0.00001677031,0.0052813],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2082274,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4140307,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04026149024678866,"score_gpt":0.3043926643515485,"score_spread":0.2641311741047599,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}