{"id":"W2141537185","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.476741","title":"The Extreme Future Stock Returns Following Extreme Earnings Surprises","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":53,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Earnings; Stock (firearms); Post-earnings-announcement drift; Business; Economics; Financial economics; Financial system; Earnings response coefficient; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007413013,0.0001364197,0.0002684918,0.0003597311,0.0002551548,0.001153395,0.0002333738,0.0009052792,0.002694017],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01131927,0.0001669131,0.0001777307,0.0003558165,0.0003950387,0.00108272,0.0007318384,0.001095072,0.0006012815],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002572018,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001469641,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008472883,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001072584,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998034,0.00002437747,0.00001641407,0.00003139499,0.00007438548,0.00005003115],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9971315,0.0009609879,0.001090019,0.0001758113,0.0003199529,0.0003217545],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.005699389,0.0005321108,0.6917564,0.0002112193,0.0003112952,0.01239575,0.002330843,0.02592368,0.02987465,0.06091235,0.01648208,0.1535702],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004278919,0.0003903652,0.9466826,0.00003994576,0.00005732219,0.001791648,0.001052537,0.0126639,0.002041441,0.03070474,0.004473057,0.0000596546],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9895281,0.0003351264,0.001659571,0.001065709,0.0001129323,0.000008580568,0.0001572654,0.00004602886,0.007086687],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988827,0.00009605004,0.00010101,0.00006854915,0.00005750839,0.000002250898,0.00007922931,0.000005992375,0.000706622],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002694017,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009012341,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01130088383369162,"score_gpt":0.2047228408246156,"score_spread":0.193421956990924,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}