{"id":"W2142274344","doi":"10.1239/jap/1127322015","title":"The finite-time ruin probability of the compound Poisson model with constant interest force","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Applied Probability","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":99,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Concordia University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; University of Science and Technology of China; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Mathematics; Ruin theory; Poisson distribution; Constant (computer programming); Simple (philosophy); Zero-inflated model; First-hitting-time model; Compound Poisson process; Probability theory; Probability distribution; Asymptotic formula; Distribution (mathematics); Applied mathematics; Mathematical analysis; Risk model; Statistics; Poisson process; Poisson regression","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00592614,0.0008319502,0.001907968,0.001723429,0.0007749996,0.002215276,0.003094918,0.002135997,0.005457522],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03841535,0.0005910185,0.0009991328,0.0009679653,0.003198847,0.00704418,0.001541443,0.003641485,0.0006278346],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002113378,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001113064,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002173247,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001237007,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984381,0.0004517084,0.00007319608,0.0003168952,0.0004174493,0.0003027263],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9743274,0.01943389,0.003055913,0.001245413,0.001268958,0.0006685647],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001015127,0.00006781736,0.002405858,0.0002121973,0.00004595641,0.0006068523,0.0003185777,0.1153777,0.002040554,0.8653087,0.001785744,0.01172853],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002880395,0.00005909036,0.001281545,0.00005632836,0.00004761165,0.0005536986,0.00008129195,0.6086049,0.0008269324,0.3873041,0.001094697,0.00006097917],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1687358,0.002615896,0.8082814,0.001766289,0.0001990141,0.0001262782,0.0002766496,0.0004332754,0.01756543],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.970709,0.001959465,0.01907688,0.0002353606,0.0003468721,0.0001666364,0.0001376315,0.00008428132,0.007283834],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.00592614,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03134084,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09448618476480478,"score_gpt":0.3135703490113058,"score_spread":0.219084164246501,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}