{"id":"W2142472354","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(15)61340-x","title":"Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990–2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Health disparities and outcomes","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":2012,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Health Sciences Centre; Health Canada; Western University; University of Toronto; University of British Columbia; University of Alberta; Université de Montréal; University of Calgary; Memorial University of Newfoundland; Public Health Agency of Canada","funders":"National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases; Russian Academy of Sciences; National Health and Medical Research Council; NHLBI Division of Intramural Research; Medical Center, University of Rochester; National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders; Allergan; H. Lundbeck A/S; Medical Research Council; Servier; Università degli Studi di Perugia; Tokyo Women's Medical University; University of Peradeniya; Arak University of Medical Sciences; Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China; Università degli Studi di Salerno; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental; National Taiwan University; University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; National Institutes of Health; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Fudan University; Public Health Foundation of India; Public Health England; Monash University; Agencia Española de Medicamentos y Productos Sanitarios; Universitat de València; Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung; University of Leicester; Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council; AstraZeneca; National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit; Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior; University of California, San Diego; Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers; Amarin Corporation; Wageningen University and Research; Cancer Research UK; University of Massachusetts Boston; Arabian Gulf University; Savient Pharmaceuticals; Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul; University of Cyprus; Economic and Social Research Council; Universidad de la República Uruguay; University of Occupational and Environmental Health; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Universitat de Barcelona; Brien Holden Vision Institute; James Cook University; University at Albany; University of Southampton; Wellcome Trust; Massey University; British Heart Foundation; Oklahoma Center for the Advancement of Science and Technology; Regeneron Pharmaceuticals; Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum; University of Rochester; University of Otago; Pfizer; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Ohio State University; Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Cyprus University of Technology; Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen; Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand; National Institute for Social Care and Health Research; National Science Foundation; Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico; University of Oklahoma; University of Liverpool; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Brandeis University","keywords":"Life expectancy; Epidemiological transition; Epidemiology; Years of potential life lost; Medicine; Environmental health; Gerontology; Demography; Sociology; Population; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002230155,0.000470754,0.0006083527,0.001909705,0.0001519997,0.0008123709,0.0005935067,0.0006807616,0.0009818985],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005476819,0.0003253558,0.001739564,0.004597731,0.0004403516,0.00153708,0.001617065,0.001182874,0.0002423925],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001552043,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001634807,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07513302,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09166934,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992028,0.0001915408,0.0001270479,0.0001656257,0.0001114496,0.0002014917],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985855,0.0002364951,0.0006857389,0.0001051491,0.00024875,0.0001383574],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006387007,0.0000400203,0.9494644,0.000978018,0.002097657,0.00009644197,0.0007588325,0.003934095,0.0002830837,0.002749679,0.01589321,0.0230659],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002984814,0.00004534376,0.9913363,0.0001468716,0.0003297223,0.0001060601,0.0006097562,0.0007805446,0.0001331302,0.0006716829,0.005786644,0.00002401348],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.783596,0.01876467,0.002157526,0.002866104,0.0002829743,0.00006252407,0.1882347,0.0001272368,0.003908269],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9481856,0.004490749,0.001518686,0.0002801357,0.00005537863,0.00005987863,0.04487411,0.00001830352,0.0005171279],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07513302,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1493914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2269302610716599,"score_gpt":0.4248668548630819,"score_spread":0.197936593791422,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}