{"id":"W2146756756","doi":"","title":"Time-varying Nairu and real interest rates in the Euro Area","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":23,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"NAIRU; Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Kalman filter; Monetary policy; Econometrics; Interest rate; Macroeconomics; Hodrick–Prescott filter; Phillips curve; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics; Mathematics; Statistics; Business cycle; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002604888,0.0002026986,0.0004273804,0.0009609858,0.0002016193,0.001973822,0.0003603892,0.0005871492,0.000932831],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007761047,0.0001714152,0.000354407,0.001547002,0.0004691021,0.001156722,0.0005983163,0.0004982699,0.00021672],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007881499,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002617927,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00867558,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004114059,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995978,0.0001572417,0.00004642075,0.00009216263,0.00005794559,0.0000484076],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967279,0.001086323,0.00154532,0.0001635311,0.0003223201,0.0001544332],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001263991,0.0002161354,0.7815017,0.0003386966,0.0006958158,0.001189281,0.002392055,0.0866485,0.004633734,0.05849143,0.002752608,0.05987605],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007400198,0.0001672462,0.904289,0.0001108947,0.0001423851,0.0003143886,0.001250891,0.07455203,0.001173018,0.01037426,0.007483728,0.0000680552],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9920277,0.002360026,0.001336117,0.0003627539,0.0000347864,0.000004992422,0.0001932835,0.00001923008,0.003661028],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9981257,0.0009696152,0.0002285575,0.0000220138,0.00002220782,0.000003380185,0.0001225984,0.000007554474,0.0004983427],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00867558,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01725018,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07836563739935928,"score_gpt":0.2474775299081244,"score_spread":0.1691118925087652,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}