{"id":"W2148996355","doi":"10.1038/nclimate1972","title":"Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":304,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Global warming; Forcing (mathematics); Environmental science; Climate model; Abrupt climate change; Climate change; Atmospheric sciences; Effects of global warming; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002431369,0.000183494,0.0001477603,0.00001434782,0.0001821006,0.00009158164,0.0003717713,0.0002830526,0.008111402],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000330704,0.0001286994,0.00007939135,0.0002955902,0.000164292,0.0004093219,0.0004703517,0.0003860659,0.001735071],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002118215,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000003238542,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006821821,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002433541,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985428,0.00004713589,0.0001754292,0.0003649007,0.0003363548,0.0005333483],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993112,0.00006873762,0.00007254287,0.0004210184,0.00001274635,0.0001137697],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007416859,0.0004479712,0.8460864,0.00009672533,0.00005571746,0.00004937695,0.002894384,0.0003328961,0.006397685,0.004502324,0.1186849,0.02037743],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003814229,0.00003595287,0.9698507,0.00003019919,0.00002969511,0.00001637125,0.000120116,0.00593689,0.00003896121,0.00281197,0.02043974,0.0003079634],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9822523,0.000152262,0.000006338893,0.00226508,0.0004242421,0.0005901338,0.0001403217,0.0001165376,0.01405278],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958837,0.0001012912,0.0002409281,0.003298197,0.0002414215,0.0001055748,0.00003992796,0.00001774,0.00007121963],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1237643,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9990422,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02340580501570809,"score_gpt":0.2693486342202335,"score_spread":0.2459428292045254,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}