{"id":"W2148996355","doi":"10.1038/nclimate1972","title":"Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":304,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Global warming; Forcing (mathematics); Environmental science; Climate model; Abrupt climate change; Climate change; Atmospheric sciences; Effects of global warming; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001499734,0.0006261715,0.0003481016,0.000492271,0.0003486186,0.001181958,0.0005794242,0.001234543,0.002811153],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005252183,0.0003694325,0.0006400671,0.00133726,0.0002470349,0.002460974,0.0007533076,0.0008209039,0.0006792911],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001738352,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001500331,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03096466,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03342873,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995321,0.0001146373,0.00004189548,0.0001916286,0.00006403303,0.00005572658],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984458,0.0004430903,0.0003247523,0.0003088794,0.0004067237,0.00007083997],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006951846,0.00008770715,0.4128257,0.0006515725,0.001175737,0.0002953091,0.0002787673,0.4914711,0.005540715,0.006804256,0.01024688,0.06992704],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001979567,0.0001481224,0.398997,0.0003211902,0.00123623,0.0004631479,0.0003465942,0.5250262,0.009249369,0.01533741,0.04854143,0.0001352761],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9464402,0.007198949,0.01286208,0.004482372,0.001147337,0.00002094326,0.01320152,0.0006260732,0.01402054],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9944125,0.0008677377,0.001069028,0.0002412617,0.00009012221,0.000009535862,0.002057659,0.00005862966,0.001193568],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03096466,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06156886,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02340580501570809,"score_gpt":0.2693486342202335,"score_spread":0.2459428292045254,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}