{"id":"W2149552343","doi":"10.7202/1020691ar","title":"A Malthusian-Frontier Interpretation of United States Demographic History Before c. 1815","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Urban History Review","topic":"Historical Economic and Social Studies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Frontier; Urbanization; Elite; Pace; Politics; Development economics; Population; Population growth; Economics; Inequality; Per capita; Demographic transition; Interpretation (philosophy); Economic geography; Demographic economics; Economic history; Geography; Political science; Economic growth; Demography; Sociology; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004915721,0.0001780568,0.0001187026,0.002137997,0.00117259,0.001486763,0.0001792825,0.0003334345,0.002073404],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009720807,0.00008318229,0.0001075097,0.002782938,0.002255275,0.001566339,0.0006218645,0.0008470159,0.000204653],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003308395,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001005588,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02097342,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02721896,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998016,0.0001019122,0.000008508146,0.00002710054,0.00002609516,0.00003489561],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997727,0.00008266365,0.00004005351,0.000018088,0.00006982333,0.00001664705],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001313243,0.000004337337,0.002157548,0.00005709655,0.000003732035,0.00008592469,0.00412038,0.0005058922,0.0000493545,0.9470947,0.009430946,0.03647707],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006113585,0.0000367254,0.02375902,0.0005031889,0.00001241674,0.0002552314,0.003403265,0.0008868414,0.0001409142,0.236899,0.7340814,0.00001588313],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1962837,0.2096755,0.01191526,0.04005726,0.00162473,0.00003110346,0.001000243,0.00006772416,0.5393445],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9385112,0.04336748,0.001284454,0.001058551,0.0005790135,0.00002814532,0.0002407595,0.00001544385,0.01491494],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02097342,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04170269,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02912477104896619,"score_gpt":0.1970055651414196,"score_spread":0.1678807940924534,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}