{"id":"W2149704499","doi":"10.3386/w19887","title":"Measuring the ''World'' Real Interest Rate","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Stochastic processes and financial applications","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":103,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"York University","keywords":"Real interest rate; Interest rate; Computer science; Econometrics; Economics; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01017535,0.0002353819,0.0006922092,0.0009948377,0.0003058631,0.0001263522,0.001147456,0.0002669434,0.0003972827],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002058929,0.0002256488,0.0002497036,0.0004259436,0.0003636022,0.0001139352,0.0003024675,0.0008701063,0.001573662],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001396835,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001320417,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004425471,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002336692,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971717,0.00003672398,0.001339464,0.0007020121,0.0002908325,0.0004592419],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960011,0.001279431,0.0009226787,0.0005970937,0.001103342,0.00009634467],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001481527,0.00003554321,0.0002920984,0.00008269201,0.00008577614,3.631965e-7,0.00002683347,0.00006623699,0.000005628877,0.9702629,0.02846434,0.0006627293],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001695273,0.00003254084,0.001953992,0.00006189779,0.000005437539,0.000004250624,0.00001050696,0.0005045528,0.00002703967,0.8020524,0.1949898,0.0001880403],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0004686053,0.001458867,0.0026051,0.00235326,0.0008541163,0.0006243511,0.0004075724,0.0000231766,0.991205],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9772211,0.001529076,0.0002461997,0.00006188049,0.002736303,0.0004951758,0.0002876093,0.0000839468,0.01733876],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9767525,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992037,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.5229545294994155,"score_gpt":0.4681543607183029,"score_spread":0.05480016878111255,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}