{"id":"W2150405060","doi":"10.1017/s0031819110000446","title":"The Risk that Humans Will Soon Be Extinct","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Philosophy","topic":"Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Extinction (optical mineralogy); Tragedy (event); Humanity; Race (biology); Environmental ethics; Population; History; Arms race; Criminology; Philosophy; Sociology; Law; Political science; Literature; Demography; Biology; Art; Paleontology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002657599,0.0001224307,0.00009734888,0.00002150454,0.0006084501,0.0001523719,0.0003516049,0.00003019305,0.0003894335],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001254387,0.00007622202,0.0001129273,0.00009053039,0.0001690505,0.0002354833,0.00005379787,0.0003171297,0.0001824207],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000003481475,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002746476,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002098266,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003989731,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991823,0.00003157184,0.0001125181,0.000209454,0.0001947817,0.0002693186],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993233,0.00008821565,0.0000952002,0.0003824699,0.00001977797,0.00009101055],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004735258,0.000136501,0.3792782,0.000002802609,0.00007374629,0.000001739511,0.0006588516,0.00002760129,0.004758492,0.5909872,0.007182193,0.01684531],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005470845,0.00006442941,0.01455659,0.000006857647,0.00003575357,5.161201e-7,0.000276147,0.0002081063,0.004269417,0.7209584,0.2587538,0.0003228866],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8569185,0.00002130976,0.0001639776,0.008594831,0.001644623,0.0001862333,0.00003781179,0.00004874726,0.132384],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.996691,0.000004590276,0.00006334643,0.0001378025,0.002718113,0.00001784342,0.000007691612,0.00001119591,0.000348381],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3647216,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4679768,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02646042283365053,"score_gpt":0.2631129742989043,"score_spread":0.2366525514652538,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}