{"id":"W2152334756","doi":"10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02541.x","title":"Population vulnerability to climate change linked to timing of breeding in boreal ducks","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":75,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph; University of Saskatchewan; Ducks Unlimited Canada; University of British Columbia; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service","keywords":"Ecology; Population; Boreal; Phenology; Climate change; Snow; Biology; Environmental science; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003238585,0.0001359095,0.0002231917,0.00004756443,0.00004940158,0.000004984942,0.0002010301,0.000135614,0.004881594],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006598482,0.0001303171,0.00004388734,0.0004764858,0.00006359063,0.0001066302,0.0003465578,0.00005985914,0.0003462215],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00064219,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000001665083,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01674026,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008655923,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998766,0.00006388683,0.0002615918,0.0003544501,0.0001034218,0.0004506689],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999554,0.0000116076,0.00007454184,0.0001943249,0.0000143885,0.0001511295],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000713109,0.00006919713,0.9828055,0.000008610819,0.000001705722,0.00000165235,0.001172336,1.137749e-7,0.0005770225,0.001063876,0.0001372461,0.01409141],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001691005,0.0002379303,0.9979595,0.00001341731,0.000004021053,0.000002447535,0.0003891588,0.00001510798,0.00005286348,0.0001988704,0.0008233596,0.0001342204],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9840757,0.00002298071,0.00002441245,0.0004172478,0.000305798,0.0004888765,0.0003763768,0.00003789892,0.01425077],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985459,0.00002102462,0.0002268128,0.0008660125,0.00009044148,0.0001217433,0.0001195899,0.000005483379,0.000003009037],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01515399,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9960281,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1610673087595173,"score_gpt":0.3317854607909212,"score_spread":0.1707181520314039,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}