{"id":"W2152482576","doi":"10.5194/nhess-14-53-2014","title":"Assessing the predictability of fire occurrence and area burned across phytoclimatic regions in Spain","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Natural hazards and earth system sciences","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":53,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Joint Research Centre; European Commission","keywords":"Predictability; Environmental science; Climatology; Land cover; Context (archaeology); Meteorology; Land use; Geography; Statistics; Mathematics; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001023316,0.0004575289,0.000426929,0.0005447551,0.0001714469,0.00113911,0.0007424604,0.0004996562,0.0005661624],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001288986,0.0001964267,0.00100213,0.0005372502,0.0002209908,0.0003278808,0.0003390231,0.0003399131,0.0001958257],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001501122,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008299581,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1383756,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.07224358,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997754,0.00005363387,0.00001159549,0.0000993557,0.00001903326,0.00004103589],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990908,0.0004393916,0.000123817,0.0001468833,0.0001261576,0.00007294058],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002475556,0.00008510918,0.39553,0.00004421423,0.0002226608,0.0001192112,0.00006343915,0.5945717,0.001157137,0.0003342431,0.000593577,0.007031254],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005879406,0.00006209529,0.2645569,0.00002555867,0.00006757855,0.00003860654,0.0001218598,0.7329437,0.0007623149,0.0005246263,0.0008121465,0.00002580014],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9967836,0.0001870723,0.001305338,0.00006293635,0.000007275115,0.000005007161,0.0009366021,0.00009003444,0.0006221508],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986909,0.00006049272,0.0003247171,0.000008240219,0.00000287302,0.000004265623,0.0007449689,0.00001262446,0.0001509718],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1383756,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2751403,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0145069048713569,"score_gpt":0.2750756352016239,"score_spread":0.260568730330267,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}