{"id":"W2153934715","doi":"10.21034/sr.271","title":"Growth and Business Cycles","year":2000,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Endogenous growth theory; Economics; Business cycle; Volatility (finance); Human capital; Consumption (sociology); Investment (military); Econometrics; Productivity; Physical capital; Growth rate; Microeconomics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00008277281,0.00008403115,0.0001798364,0.00006953541,0.0000625734,0.00004933098,0.00008525061,0.00005223294,0.002260206],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001931018,0.00009114698,0.00002780761,0.00009900218,0.00005371158,0.0002140684,0.00001820855,0.00004591034,0.001750311],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00000940418,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000003057509,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000455579,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000009622803,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993415,0.000002475543,0.0002432345,0.0002258266,0.000006523077,0.0001804279],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997593,0.00001696128,0.00003790541,0.0001179405,0.000004002217,0.00006389462],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000007533439,0.00002473834,0.07297382,0.00001722896,0.00001313952,0.000001013518,0.00009462528,0.00000292462,0.000002894536,0.9207458,0.001925281,0.004190989],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003521976,0.00001382914,0.3545398,0.000003334489,0.000001544671,0.000008411916,0.00001261602,0.0004267733,0.00004858892,0.6150321,0.02934263,0.0002181052],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4108264,0.0002882866,0.0000578621,0.001290286,0.00004460838,0.00003302041,0.00001727195,0.00003053093,0.5874118],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995324,0.0002169047,0.0003580705,0.001058591,0.0001172726,0.000004834321,0.00000332472,0.00001144443,0.002905573],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5845062,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999027,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02300855581214714,"score_gpt":0.1941694661554112,"score_spread":0.171160910343264,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}