{"id":"W2154140538","doi":"","title":"Changes in International Business Cycle Affiliations","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Business cycle; Volatility (finance); Recession; Economics; International business; Great recession; Real gross domestic product; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Econometrics; Keynesian economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001878075,0.0002273059,0.0004320258,0.003038514,0.0004984784,0.001949057,0.0005179375,0.000532317,0.00537772],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02236874,0.0001882749,0.0003662847,0.005132898,0.0004868354,0.001407381,0.001162599,0.0006941974,0.0006926955],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006417983,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003715781,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001232231,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001696222,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988255,0.0002227039,0.0001121909,0.0003924787,0.0003066826,0.0001404719],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9861398,0.004915447,0.005167401,0.00117287,0.001971119,0.0006333388],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001930534,0.0001413433,0.9070644,0.0000766521,0.0002276322,0.0002735612,0.001642168,0.01552611,0.003958385,0.02282608,0.001473566,0.04659697],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003360887,0.0002327671,0.9388521,0.0000424001,0.00009115255,0.0003234694,0.001051122,0.03036584,0.003529634,0.0143643,0.01106508,0.000048474],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9837839,0.0001635486,0.005154334,0.0001139397,0.00001430613,0.00003236754,0.000980505,0.00004262305,0.009714506],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958755,0.0000928156,0.002197974,0.00001851372,0.00001351462,0.00002623701,0.0008989098,0.00001984466,0.0008566895],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00537772,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01799023,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08687752851005438,"score_gpt":0.3093825775431009,"score_spread":0.2225050490330465,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}