{"id":"W2154580988","doi":"10.5430/ijfr.v6n4p187","title":"Evaluating Exchange Rate Models Based on Rational Expectations versus Imperfect Knowledge Economics","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Financial Research","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Rational expectations; Imperfect; Exchange rate; Economics; International finance; Econometrics; Field (mathematics); Empirical evidence; Macroeconomics; Epistemology; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007480358,0.0009368472,0.001466039,0.001494925,0.0004116508,0.00394959,0.001471311,0.002031903,0.00210084],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0316613,0.0004415079,0.001001622,0.0007016981,0.00198831,0.003858357,0.00211771,0.001360938,0.0001675549],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001717579,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001108758,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003904699,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001949259,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980775,0.001338149,0.00009008625,0.000163784,0.00017908,0.0001514154],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.974483,0.02163887,0.002132982,0.0006926371,0.0005115541,0.0005408935],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000161927,0.00008564333,0.005135218,0.00008054337,0.0001074247,0.0001292659,0.0001386283,0.8072125,0.0001935715,0.1823765,0.0003057993,0.00407296],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004067217,0.00006533132,0.0008916019,0.00002137539,0.0000269486,0.00001539559,0.00007996045,0.9078942,0.0000698041,0.09072471,0.0001497637,0.00002028502],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8337683,0.002030242,0.1401141,0.004219955,0.0001400909,0.00009799355,0.0002493941,0.0001192299,0.01926076],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9939744,0.0005212703,0.004598195,0.00006250631,0.00008278743,0.00003169318,0.00007304864,0.00001074584,0.0006452923],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007480358,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03956038,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.5712864326409602,"score_gpt":0.457116198623208,"score_spread":0.1141702340177522,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}