{"id":"W2155491527","doi":"10.1890/1051-0761(2007)017[0101:raitfo]2.0.co;2","title":"RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FACE OF A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT: GYPSY MOTH AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN UTAH","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecological Applications","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Forest Service","funders":"U.S. Forest Service; Utah State University","keywords":"Gypsy moth; Lymantria dispar; Climate change; Ecology; Abundance (ecology); Geography; Environmental resource management; Environmental science; Biology; Lepidoptera genitalia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009301973,0.0001748407,0.0001777589,0.0007331382,0.0006594,0.0007278066,0.0005523172,0.0003919072,0.000659686],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001999655,0.0001000016,0.0002695688,0.0006877007,0.0002703479,0.0005020765,0.0008898773,0.0002866192,0.00005543303],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002174493,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00105152,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1311501,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2486187,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996477,0.000127273,0.00002742665,0.00004119698,0.0001154504,0.00004093869],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992658,0.0002512427,0.0001896329,0.00003032038,0.0001598083,0.0001030391],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001095096,0.0001496287,0.9534101,0.00004989243,0.0001059609,0.0008703107,0.0008441071,0.02771224,0.001178835,0.0003525316,0.00108063,0.0141363],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001314711,0.0001840475,0.9025364,0.00002836789,0.00006027068,0.0002405639,0.002419105,0.08998563,0.0008035128,0.0007920081,0.002903504,0.00003337522],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9975247,0.0001033509,0.0003936942,0.0002122719,0.000005169049,0.00002581918,0.0003658251,0.00002505105,0.001344163],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.99836,0.0001272884,0.0007500699,0.00002675948,0.000005620791,0.00001110045,0.0003282142,0.000002951133,0.0003880932],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1311501,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2607735,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02747759151765307,"score_gpt":0.287812200435149,"score_spread":0.260334608917496,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}