{"id":"W2155491527","doi":"10.1890/1051-0761(2007)017[0101:raitfo]2.0.co;2","title":"RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FACE OF A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT: GYPSY MOTH AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN UTAH","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecological Applications","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Forest Service","funders":"U.S. Forest Service; Utah State University","keywords":"Gypsy moth; Lymantria dispar; Climate change; Ecology; Abundance (ecology); Geography; Environmental resource management; Environmental science; Biology; Lepidoptera genitalia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008337382,0.00007774624,0.0001003761,0.00003891582,0.00010138,0.00001037579,0.0001588021,0.00005833044,0.004442918],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001087633,0.00005588013,0.00002292691,0.0003327923,0.0001522219,0.00005594738,0.0001637353,0.0001405621,0.0001243701],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002075621,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000001100129,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000737865,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006420906,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999127,0.00004607734,0.0002005148,0.0002046531,0.0001372099,0.0002845108],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995857,0.000133214,0.00008481632,0.0001546183,0.000001583304,0.00004003241],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000006852504,0.0006850454,0.9687935,0.000007147657,0.00000191303,0.000003497007,0.001439022,0.00003388786,0.0006144784,0.01574432,0.00003217619,0.01263816],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001847705,0.00003564722,0.9914863,0.000001827488,0.000003787755,0.000001719177,0.0036223,0.0002429042,0.00003939669,0.0003488792,0.003968951,0.0000635611],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9843757,0.00004609665,0.0009579303,0.00102565,0.00000762529,0.0007721075,0.00006274584,0.00001217679,0.01274002],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983689,0.000542819,0.0002189815,0.0003081357,0.00001059045,0.00051909,0.00001956923,0.000003077477,0.000008900784],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02269276,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9964672,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02747759151765307,"score_gpt":0.287812200435149,"score_spread":0.260334608917496,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}