{"id":"W2157735531","doi":"10.1002/joc.867","title":"Mediated and direct effects of the North Atlantic Ocean on winter temperatures in northwest Europe","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Climatology","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":26,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"North Atlantic oscillation; Climatology; Sea surface temperature; Atlantic multidecadal oscillation; Environmental science; Explained variation; Mean radiant temperature; Linear regression; Variance (accounting); Oceanography; Geology; Climate change; Statistics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00193787,0.0007239694,0.0007330819,0.0003491401,0.0002383082,0.001302772,0.0006740033,0.0004667548,0.003176315],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004777158,0.0004230594,0.001307983,0.0003665198,0.0003669019,0.0008015453,0.001103101,0.0006971087,0.0003261247],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008339508,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004882546,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02950531,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02570688,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989197,0.0005913198,0.00005090745,0.0002694561,0.00007829483,0.00009035242],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970193,0.001997638,0.0004528781,0.0002239888,0.0001579223,0.0001482798],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004592531,0.0002570423,0.9250691,0.00006057979,0.002028576,0.0004534781,0.0002535149,0.05422676,0.003082806,0.00185829,0.0003908749,0.01185978],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005404715,0.0001977915,0.918482,0.00004093907,0.0004335693,0.00006772143,0.0001933796,0.0778155,0.000761217,0.001260923,0.0006577657,0.00003525159],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977182,0.0001876976,0.0009548448,0.0000780419,0.00001010879,0.000003994645,0.00024696,0.00002425949,0.0007758851],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986948,0.0001132185,0.0003654648,0.00001308664,0.00001129372,0.000006642493,0.0002007586,0.00001122388,0.0005834742],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02950531,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05866712,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.005948626768552023,"score_gpt":0.2263312379400017,"score_spread":0.2203826111714497,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}