{"id":"W2158704307","doi":"10.5194/bg-11-2341-2014","title":"Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Biogeosciences","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":402,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"Bjerknessenteret for klimaforskning, Universitetet i Bergen; Met Office; U.S. Department of Energy; Office of Science; Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Soil carbon; Coupled model intercomparison project; Environmental science; Tundra; Biome; Radiative forcing; Carbon sink; Climate change; Carbon cycle; Atmospheric sciences; Sink (geography); Q10; Boreal; Representative Concentration Pathways; Climatology; Carbon dioxide; Climate model; Ecosystem; Soil science; Chemistry; Soil water; Ecology; Oceanography; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009194639,0.0004688918,0.0003286757,0.0005008729,0.0002757551,0.0008184111,0.0004524698,0.0005057987,0.0006839461],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002052985,0.0003038725,0.001032678,0.0006846893,0.0003262021,0.0006998422,0.0003623969,0.0003511355,0.0001506754],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001311598,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006744784,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03490695,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02210229,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999772,0.00006195824,0.00001927911,0.00008127963,0.00003204649,0.00003343586],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994667,0.0001814688,0.0001330422,0.0000769082,0.00009580057,0.00004607147],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001387232,0.00004763511,0.2309515,0.00004568533,0.0004926088,0.00009132279,0.00005176307,0.7609718,0.001807512,0.001093624,0.0007764309,0.003531429],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008695047,0.0000632709,0.1613979,0.00001792669,0.0001329503,0.00006110662,0.00006557122,0.8337501,0.001297076,0.00149456,0.001591622,0.00004088842],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9965868,0.0001361745,0.0009917323,0.000154806,0.00001557415,0.000003972339,0.001235178,0.0000603773,0.0008153696],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985929,0.00007453487,0.0003366148,0.00002818842,0.000006235659,0.000004287223,0.0008312219,0.00001086058,0.0001152005],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03490695,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06940752,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01667102132919507,"score_gpt":0.1884456735874073,"score_spread":0.1717746522582123,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}